About Urbanization
Wold Bank data shows a steady rise in the proportion of the world’s population that live in urban centers, rising from 36.5% in 1970, to 41.1% in 1985, to 46.5% in 2000, to 53.8% in 2015. By 2030, this is likely to be more than two-thirds of the world’s population. In the United States, while this growth flat-lined in from 1970 to 1990 as many cities experienced social problems and economic flight, urbanization has resumed its march such that by 2015, 81.6% of the population lived in urban areas.
The rapid urbanization and urban regeneration that is happening poses both challenges and opportunities. Contrary to the expectations of many, urban living can be much more efficient from a sustainability perspective, reducing per capita carbon emissions and lessening the impact on the environment. At the same time, dense populations can pose a challenge to infrastructure, particularly in older cities that were not designed for the volume of people living in them.
A higher proportion of people living in urban centers also attracts resources, stimulates innovation, and facilitates the development ofpeer-to-peer platforms. At the same time, this begets the potential to increase The Great Divides of Wealth, Health, and Technology, particularly increasing the divisions between rural and urban populations. Even within cities we are seeing the effect of an increasing wealth divide where cities essentially become accessible only to the wealthy to actually live in, with service providers having to live outside the city and commute in as the ratio of real estate cost to average wage escalates to seemingly unsustainable levels.
Business Challenges
This urban regeneration provides opportunities to business, with dense markets, and increased flow of resources into cities, and opportunities to create innovation centers. At the same time, with increased abilities to communicate, and the easy access driven by close proximity, the development of peer-to-peer platforms allows the sharing economy to flourish and potentially disrupt more and more.
Trend Overview
“The world is urbanizing at an unprecedented rate, and more than half the world’s population live in cities” (World Bank 2018). This Societal Shift explores the pace by which large numbers of people concentrate in relatively small areas. It is expected that by 2050, two-thirds of the world will live in urban areas (UN 2015). Indeed, rapid urbanization is happening and thus, it is imperative to learn where is this growth occurring and what key indicators help us foresee the cities of the future.
More than half of the world’s population lives in urban areas. Due to the ongoing urbanisation and growth of the world’s population, there will be about 2.5 billion more people added to the urban population by 2050, mainly in Africa and Asia. The world’s urban areas are highly varied, but many cities and towns are facing problems such as a lack of jobs, homelessness and expanding squatter settlements, inadequate services and infrastructure, poor health and educational services and high levels of pollution.
Table of Contents
The largest 20 cities in 2035
Ongoing rapid urbanization has the potential to improve people’s wellbeing and it is important to learn that Asia will lead in number of megacities by 2035:
Percentage of population living in urban areas
Rapid urbanization is not only happening in Asia. It is taking place everywhere in the world at a similar pace! For example, by 2050, urbanization will reach 90% in South America. The following chart allows for comparison among the world’s continents:
Population density in the US
Population density is a measurement of population per unit area and it is a key geographical term. While the US does not rank within the top 50 countries for this indicator, it is important to note that cities such as New Jersey and Rhode Island have 1,208 and 1,025 inhabitants per square mile, respectively. The next graph shows the rate of growth for population density in the United States:
Population of Beijing, China
Beijing is the 11th largest city in the world and its population will reach over 25 million people by 2035:
People employed in agriculture
While agriculture is the second greatest source of employment worldwide, the share of the population in this industry is declining. This indicator helps identify that as countries develop, agriculture employment declines. Most importantly, it can help us understand the pace in which people migrate from rural to urban areas.
